17 March 2012
Tonight kicks off what is an exciting few weeks of boxing betting. For MMA, Bellator is the only real televised action for the next month and the betting action is light on most sports books. However, there still is plenty of fight betting available in the square ring.
This weekend’s two big fights are Kell Brook vs. Mathew Hatton and Sergio Martinez vs. Mathew Macklin.
Kell Brook vs. Matthew Hatton
Matthew "Magic" Hatton comes into this bout a huge underdog and with good reason. While he has a decent record of (42-5-2, 16 KOs) his light punching problems have been well documented. Last time he was on HBO Saul Alvarez seemed to walk right through anything he could dish out.
Kell Brook seems to have the advantage here in the most important aspects, speed and power. His unblemished record of (26-0, 18 KOs) is courtesy of his immense talent. He has stopped 10 of his past 11 opponents. Most expect Brook to win easily here. Really, there is no reason to think otherwise. In order for the featherfisted Hatton to win, Brook must have an off night or an off training camp. With Brook so close to seeing big world title bouts I cannot see a lack of motivation becoming a factor.
BetUS currently has Kell Brook -1200 and Matthew Hatton +650.
An interesting line is the over under set at 9.5 rounds. The Over is -220 and the Under is +175. Remember, Hatton has a great chin, as evidenced by his Alvarez fight. There may be a bit of an advantage to be gained in the over/under department considering betting on Hatton here is almost negligent to the wallet.
Sergio Martinez vs. Matthew Macklin
The consensus 3rd best P4P fighter puts his belt on the line against Matthew Macklin in New York on the night telecast. Macklin is coming off of his controversial loss to Felix Strum last year. Sergio Martinez impressively wiped out Serhiy Dzinziruk and Darren Barker in his last two fights.
BetUS has the identical money line for this fight.
Sergio Martinez -1200
Matthew Macklin +650
If I had to choose, Macklin is the better bet than Hatton. He is tough, has good skills, and has the tools to break down Martinez if he has an off night.
The over under is also set at 9.5 rounds with the over a favorite at -150 and the under +120. The over play here seems relatively soft. Martinez owns a devastating KO over Paul Williams in their second fight that resonates in people's minds. However, people forget that this is the same Martinez that couldn't stop Kermit Cintron, Paul Williams, and a damaged Kelly Pavlik before that devastating KO.
Once again, the over seems like the best bet here.